Evolution, Ancestry & Biodiversity — Extension · Life Science: Biology, Grade 10

Explain population change and branching ancestry using independent evidence.

Test Selection and Ancestry Explanations

Investigate

What distinguishes selection evidence from a claim that organisms changed because they needed to?

Use three sessions: define question, boundary, model and route; collect or analyze the supplied repeated records; then graph, explain, revise and submit the notebook. Home-study activities do not certify NYSED laboratory minutes or mandated investigations.

Materials

Before you begin

Use the supplied paper-and-data model. This activity requires no biological samples, cultures, personal health information, or tests on people.

Plan a fair test

Compare pre-existing heritable coat types on two backgrounds under equal model population sizes. The table counts survivors, not lifetime offspring; selection requires evidence of heritability and reproduction as well as survival.

Method

  1. Predict survival under a visible-predator model without inventing new traits on demand.
  2. Calculate survival percentages for each coat type on each background.
  3. Graph the comparisons and identify the interaction with background.
  4. Predict a generational change if the survival differences also change reproductive success and coat traits are heritable.
  5. List additional evidence needed to distinguish selection from chance or migration.
  6. Explain how a population prediction differs from changing one individual’s coat genes.
Open the investigation data (illustrative)

Illustrative data authored for this activity, not an actual experiment or an official mandated investigation. Use them as supplied evidence, not as your own observations.

BackgroundCoat typeStarting countSurvivors
LightLight5040
LightDark5015
DarkLight5010
DarkDark5035

Analyze and explain

What a strong explanation includes

Parent / teacher guide: discuss after the investigation

On the light background survival is 80% for light and 30% for dark; on dark it is 20% for light and 70% for dark. Camouflage under predation is a possible mechanism. If these heritable differences affect reproduction, frequencies may shift across generations. The table alone measures one model survival episode, not allele-frequency change, mutation timing, or ancestry. A complete response also states the system boundary, units, matched conditions and limitations. Distinguish supplied illustrative outcomes from collected measurements, and explain why your revised mechanism fits the relevant evidence. Different observations should be interpreted rather than replaced to match the example.

Compare this model with the learner’s actual evidence. Different measurements can support a different conclusion; check the reasoning and limitations, not matching wording.

Extend the chapter investigation by evaluating its evidence and proposing a better test.

Problem 1

Calculate all survival percentages.
Answer and explanation

On the light background survival is 80% for light and 30% for dark; on dark it is 20% for light and 70% for dark. Camouflage under predation is a possible mechanism. If these heritable differences affect reproduction, frequencies may shift across generations. The table alone measures one model survival episode, not allele-frequency change, mutation timing, or ancestry. A complete response also states the system boundary, units, matched conditions and limitations. Distinguish supplied illustrative outcomes from collected measurements, and explain why your revised mechanism fits the relevant evidence. Different observations should be interpreted rather than replaced to match the example.

Problem 2

Which type has higher survival on each background?
Answer and explanation

On the light background survival is 80% for light and 30% for dark; on dark it is 20% for light and 70% for dark. Camouflage under predation is a possible mechanism. If these heritable differences affect reproduction, frequencies may shift across generations. The table alone measures one model survival episode, not allele-frequency change, mutation timing, or ancestry. A complete response also states the system boundary, units, matched conditions and limitations. Distinguish supplied illustrative outcomes from collected measurements, and explain why your revised mechanism fits the relevant evidence. Different observations should be interpreted rather than replaced to match the example.

Problem 3

Why do these data alone not measure evolutionary change across generations?
Answer and explanation

On the light background survival is 80% for light and 30% for dark; on dark it is 20% for light and 70% for dark. Camouflage under predation is a possible mechanism. If these heritable differences affect reproduction, frequencies may shift across generations. The table alone measures one model survival episode, not allele-frequency change, mutation timing, or ancestry. A complete response also states the system boundary, units, matched conditions and limitations. Distinguish supplied illustrative outcomes from collected measurements, and explain why your revised mechanism fits the relevant evidence. Different observations should be interpreted rather than replaced to match the example.

Problem 4

Separate collected measurements from the supplied illustrative records.
Answer and explanation

On the light background survival is 80% for light and 30% for dark; on dark it is 20% for light and 70% for dark. Camouflage under predation is a possible mechanism. If these heritable differences affect reproduction, frequencies may shift across generations. The table alone measures one model survival episode, not allele-frequency change, mutation timing, or ancestry. A complete response also states the system boundary, units, matched conditions and limitations. Distinguish supplied illustrative outcomes from collected measurements, and explain why your revised mechanism fits the relevant evidence. Different observations should be interpreted rather than replaced to match the example.

Problem 5

Explain how labeled mechanisms constrain the pattern rather than only restate the graph.
Answer and explanation

On the light background survival is 80% for light and 30% for dark; on dark it is 20% for light and 70% for dark. Camouflage under predation is a possible mechanism. If these heritable differences affect reproduction, frequencies may shift across generations. The table alone measures one model survival episode, not allele-frequency change, mutation timing, or ancestry. A complete response also states the system boundary, units, matched conditions and limitations. Distinguish supplied illustrative outcomes from collected measurements, and explain why your revised mechanism fits the relevant evidence. Different observations should be interpreted rather than replaced to match the example.

Problem 6

Propose a further comparison that could distinguish an alternative explanation.
Answer and explanation

On the light background survival is 80% for light and 30% for dark; on dark it is 20% for light and 70% for dark. Camouflage under predation is a possible mechanism. If these heritable differences affect reproduction, frequencies may shift across generations. The table alone measures one model survival episode, not allele-frequency change, mutation timing, or ancestry. A complete response also states the system boundary, units, matched conditions and limitations. Distinguish supplied illustrative outcomes from collected measurements, and explain why your revised mechanism fits the relevant evidence. Different observations should be interpreted rather than replaced to match the example.

Browse all courses